ARIS Regime Timeline — DataLeads PIT-safe (32y) Lookback bias = 0
Captain V1 본체 · ARIS Cell-Track Regime 시간 진화 cinematic playback
· 1993-01-29 → 2026-05-15 · 8,381 days × 26 regime cells · DataLeads PIT-safe naming (Captain 5/8 APPROVED)
Regime cell = Phase 3.1 K=26 BIC data-driven cluster · DataLeads = [BullCat]-BULL_x_[BearCat]-BEAR_[sub#]
= 32년 시장의 Regime 진화 본체 (Markov 모델 X · Captain 4/30 PM "Synaptic Transmission") · Bull-side / Bear-side categories = 그 regime 안에서 활성화된 / 억압된 12 prefix family.
Regime name (DataLeads PIT-safe) = [BullCat]-BULL_x_[BearCat]-BEAR_[sub#]
· 32년 동안 시장의 실제 흐름 을 regime 단위로 추적 · Markov 모델 X (Captain 4/30 PM "Markov 그만 → Synaptic Transmission") · Hebbian co-firing 기반 26 cluster.
· Today에서 Day 1을 눌러 32년 처음부터 ▶ Play로 자동 재생 · Today로 즉시 점프.
Bull driver categories (color = cell row 색깔):
SPX + Cells (DataLeads, color = Bull-side category)
Today + Headline
일반적 상황 (Quadrant base, 32y aggregate)
—
오늘 실제 (today's neurons)
—
Top 5 Bull / Bottom 5 Bear (categorized)
Bull-side categories:
Cell Naming Mapping (DataLeads ← 4Q ← raw) + Match Rate (관찰)
DataLeads name 4-Quadrant Raw Bull driver (top10) Bear stress (top10) Match %
MA-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_02
BEAR_STABILIZE_0
CYCLICAL_BULL_sub2
MACRO (3/10)
EQUITY (4/10)
42.1%
LQ-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_01
BEAR_STABILIZE_1
CYCLICAL_BULL_sub3
LIQUIDITY (2/10)
EQUITY (4/10)
4.1%
PO-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_01
BEAR_STABILIZE_2
STRUCTURAL_BULL_sub2
POSITIONING (2/10)
EQUITY (7/10)
50.6%
MA-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_06
BULL_PLATEAU_0
STRUCTURAL_BEAR_sub1
MACRO (3/10)
EQUITY (3/10)
64.6%
EQ-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_02
BULL_PLATEAU_1
DEFENSIVE_ROTATION_sub2
EQUITY (3/10)
EQUITY (3/10)
62.5%
X-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_01
BULL_PLATEAU_2
CONSOLIDATION_sub1
OTHER (2/10)
EQUITY (4/10)
33.3%
LQ-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_02
BULL_PLATEAU_3
V_BOUNCE_RECOVERY_sub1
LIQUIDITY (2/10)
EQUITY (6/10)
42.7%
MA-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_01
BULL_PLATEAU_4
CONSOLIDATION_sub0
MACRO (3/10)
EQUITY (4/10)
48.2%
MA-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_09
BULL_PLATEAU_5
V_BOUNCE_RECOVERY_sub0
MACRO (3/10)
EQUITY (5/10)
49.2%
EQ-BULL_x_MA-BEAR_01
BULL_PLATEAU_6
EXPANSION_sub1
EQUITY (3/10)
MACRO (2/10)
32.7%
X-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_03
BULL_PLATEAU_7
STAGFLATION_sub0
OTHER (2/10)
EQUITY (4/10)
12.5%
EQ-BULL_x_PO-BEAR_01
BOTTOM_REVERSAL_0
CYCLICAL_BULL_sub1
EQUITY (5/10)
POSITIONING (2/10)
2.5%
MA-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_07
BOTTOM_REVERSAL_1
STRUCTURAL_BULL_sub0
MACRO (3/10)
EQUITY (4/10)
47.6%
EQ-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_08
MILD_BEAR_TREND_0
STRUCTURAL_BULL_sub1
EQUITY (3/10)
EQUITY (3/10)
11.2%
X-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_02
EXTREME_BEAR_TREND_1
CYCLICAL_BULL_sub0
OTHER (2/10)
EQUITY (8/10)
4.8%
MA-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_08
EXTREME_BEAR_TREND_2
STRUCTURAL_BULL_sub3
MACRO (4/10)
EQUITY (6/10)
59.3%
EQ-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_07
EXTREME_BULL_TREND_0
STAGFLATION_sub1
EQUITY (5/10)
EQUITY (6/10)
8.3%
EQ-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_03
EXTREME_BULL_TREND_1
DEFENSIVE_ROTATION_sub4
EQUITY (4/10)
EQUITY (6/10)
77.2%
EQ-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_01
MILD_BULL_TREND_2
DEFENSIVE_ROTATION_sub0
EQUITY (3/10)
EQUITY (8/10)
23.6%
MA-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_04
MILD_BULL_TREND_3
DEFENSIVE_ROTATION_sub3
MACRO (3/10)
EQUITY (5/10)
18.2%
EQ-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_06
TOP_DISTRIBUTION_0
EXPANSION_sub0
EQUITY (4/10)
EQUITY (8/10)
5.2%
MA-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_03
TOP_DISTRIBUTION_1
DEFENSIVE_ROTATION_sub1
MACRO (5/10)
EQUITY (5/10)
3.7%
EQ-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_04
TOP_DISTRIBUTION_2
EARLY_BEAR_sub0
EQUITY (3/10)
EQUITY (7/10)
0.0%
RT-BULL_x_X-BEAR_01
TOP_DISTRIBUTION_3
STRUCTURAL_BEAR_sub0
RATES (3/10)
OTHER (4/10)
0.0%
EQ-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_05
TOP_DISTRIBUTION_4
EARLY_BEAR_sub2
EQUITY (4/10)
EQUITY (6/10)
0.0%
MA-BULL_x_EQ-BEAR_05
RARE_EARLY_BEAR_1
EARLY_BEAR_sub1
MACRO (4/10)
EQUITY (8/10)
0.0%